Using Beta to Understand a Stock’s Risk

To calculate CAPM, multiply the stock’s beta by the market risk premium, which is represented by (MR – RFR). Doing this yields the amount of systemic risk a security introduces into a portfolio and how that risk could impact the expected return. Bankrate.com is an independent, advertising-supported publisher and comparison service. We are compensated in exchange for placement of sponsored products and services, or by you clicking on certain links posted on our site. While we strive to provide a wide range of offers, Bankrate does not include information about every financial or credit product or service. Beta plays a significant role in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), which describes the relationship between market, or systemic risk, and expected return.

  1. High- or low-beta stocks aren’t necessarily good or bad; they move in different fashions.
  2. A beta higher than one shows that a stock’s price is more volatile than the market.
  3. Moreover, a stock’s level of volatility may change over time as its circumstances change.
  4. For most investors, downside movements are a risk, while upside ones mean opportunity.
  5. And since short-term traders can profit from big swings in either direction, you can use beta in multiple-day and swing trading strategies.

You don’t want to take excessive risk in the portfolio, but you’re willing to withstand a little volatility to outperform the S&P 500. If you’re still asking, “What is alpha and beta in stocks?” here’s an example https://www.day-trading.info/best-assets-to-have-the-5-best-income-generating/ to help better expand the concept. To further illustrate the stock beta meaning, consider the assets in an index as cars racing down a congested highway with the benchmark as the road’s center line.

It gives investors a way to relate expected return to the level of risk they assume. Beta is used in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), which describes the relationship between systematic risk and expected return for assets (usually stocks). CAPM is widely used as a method for pricing risky securities and for generating estimates of the expected returns of assets, considering both the risk of those assets and the cost of capital. Another troubling factor is that past price movement is a poor predictor of the future. Betas are merely rear-view mirrors, reflecting very little of what lies ahead. Furthermore, the beta measure on a single stock tends to flip around over time, which makes it unreliable.

Evaluating a Stock’s Beta as an Investor

Consider a firm that has long been considered a safe company with a consistently low beta. The firm then enters a new sector and takes on major debt in its next few years. The company’s low beta level doesn’t factor in this new risk because of the beta calculation’s inherent reliance on past information. This indicates that the 1 gbp to usd or 1 british pound to us dollar stock may respond in the opposite direction of the overall market. Using the previous example, you could expect the stock’s price to go up if the S&P 500 goes down and vice versa. It’s tempting to just look at the number on your brokerage’s app or website and assume you know how volatile that particular stock or asset is.

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Therefore it plays a pivotal role in portfolio construction. Investors use beta to see whether the price of a security is moving in the same direction as the rest of the market. It also provides insights about how volatile—or how risky—a stock is relative to the rest of the market. If its beta were less than 1, it would be expected to be less volatile than the index — smaller increases and decreases.

Cars may drift away from the center line at various rates as they head toward their destination. Sticking toward the center line might be safer, but some cars are willing to sacrifice a little safety and move away from the line if it gets them to their destination faster. You’ll find this alongside other metrics of a stock’s price when doing your research — which you should always do. The offers that appear on this site are from companies that compensate us.

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Including this stock in a portfolio makes it less risky than the same portfolio without the stock. For example, utility stocks often have low betas because they tend to move more slowly than market averages. A stock with a beta equal to 1 assumes its price moves hand-in-hand with the market. Beta can be helpful as a gauge of a stock’s volatility relative to the market or a particular portfolio and is a readily available measure. Like any statistic, though, it should be used as a guide and not as a precision predictor of future price action.

You can make almost anything sound smarter by adding Greek letters to it — and investing is no exception. Yahoo! Finance is among the websites that publish beta numbers. For example, as of Oct. 27, 2020, the beta for Microsoft (MSFT), as found on Yahoo! Finance, is 0.92. Yarilet Perez is an experienced multimedia journalist and fact-checker with a Master of Science in Journalism. She has worked in multiple cities covering breaking news, politics, education, and more. Her expertise is in personal finance and investing, and real estate.

Beta effectively describes the activity of a security’s returns as it responds to swings in the market. A security’s beta is calculated by dividing the product of the covariance of the security’s returns and the market’s returns by the variance of the market’s returns over a specified period. Remember, beta measures how volatile a stock’s price may be in relation to a market benchmark.

Using beta to evaluate a stock’s risk

Instead, it’s a look at its level of volatility, and it’s important to note that volatility can be good and bad. The downward price movement, of course, will keep people up at night. Covariance is a measure of how two securities move in relation to one another. NerdWallet, Inc. is an independent publisher and comparison service, not an investment advisor. Its articles, interactive tools and other content are provided to you for free, as self-help tools and for informational purposes only.

But this compensation does not influence the information we publish, or the reviews that you see on this site. We do not include the universe of companies or financial offers that may be available to you. For the rest of us, it’s much easier to calculate beta in spreadsheet programs such as Microsoft Excel or Google Sheets, which have built-in variance and covariance formulas.

On the Seeking Alpha website, it appears on every stock page in the Risk section as shown below. While Apple currently has a “Moderate Buy” rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys. Beta is a useful tool, but you https://www.topforexnews.org/investing/invest-in-startups-with-these-7-you-can-buy-on/ must use it with other metrics and indicators to find ideal investment opportunities. For example, a formerly low beta company can overextend itself by borrowing heavily to fund expansion, or it might acquire a firm in a new sector to gain a foothold.

Likewise, low-beta stocks may be less volatile than the market but could still outperform or underperform market averages over the specified period. Deductive logic would indicate that the beta of a stock would refer to underperformance. In this article, you’ll learn the beta meaning, its formulation and how to use beta in stock market analysis. Moreover, a stock’s level of volatility may change over time as its circumstances change. This makes beta less practical when looking at long-term investments. High beta stocks make portfolios riskier but increase the chance of higher returns.

Risk is an unavoidable part of investing, but it’s also the driver of your returns. Investors look for ways to understand risk, mitigate it and measure it. Beta analysis can be a useful way to manage the level of risk in your portfolio, but like any financial technique, it’s not perfect. You don’t need to do college-level statistical calculations by hand to find a stock’s beta (unless you want to, for some reason).

Many young technology companies that trade on the Nasdaq stocks have a beta greater than 1. Alpha is excess return in relation to a benchmark and is commonly used to reveal how much active fund managers outperform the index they are trying to beat. Click the link below and we’ll send you MarketBeat’s list of the 10 best stocks to own in 2024 and why they should be in your portfolio. MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street’s top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on…

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